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2017 World Conference on Natural Resource Modeling


WCNRM2017 Conference


Vulnerability and Resilience of Socio-ecological Systems

6-9 June 2017, Barcelona (Spain)

What about WCNRM 2017?



As for past editions, the World Conference on Natural Resource Modeling brings together scientists and stakeholders interested in mathematical and numerical modeling of renewable and exhaustible resources.


The WCNRM2017 will be a pool for exchanging ideas to help inform management ecosystems, natural resources and their exploitation. One of the WCNRM2017 main goals is to foster cooperation among disciplines of ecology, economics, management, mathematics and computer sciences. 

WCNRM2017 Participants Map

Click on the marks to get more information about the attendees. Last Update: 3rd April

Provisional Agenda

last update: 18/05/2107

14.00 h

GEO-SAFE Workshop

14.00 h - 16.00 h

Topic: Innovative models for fire managment: initial attack and fuel management

Location: RMIT Barcelona

Address: Carrer de Minerva, 2, 08006 Barcelona

More information: http://geosafe.lessonsonfire.eu/

18:00 h

WCNRM2017 - Social Event

18:00 h - 21:00 h

09:00 h

Conference Welcome

09:00 h - 09:20 h

09:20 h

Keynote Lecture - Mark Finney, US Forest Service

09:20 h - 10:20 h

Title: New Understanding of Wildfire Behavior

10:20 h

Coffe Break

10:20 h - 10:50 h

10:50 h


10:50 h - 12:30 h

ROOM A / SESSION 1A Fire behaviour (models and data sources)

Farguell, Angel (Spain). Spatial and time resolutions: two critical aspects for operational forest fire spread simulation

Stein, Alfred (The Netherlands). Uncertainty in the modeling of spatial big data on bushfires

Rios, Oriol (Spain). A data-driven fire spread simulator: validation in Vall-llobrega’s fire

Caballero, David (Spain). Applicability, suitability and limitations of data and models in the simulation of fire behaviour in the WUI

Pastor, Elsa (Spain). A modelling framework for ecological wildfire effects studies in tropical ecosystems


Oubraham, Aichouche (Canada). Viability of agro-ecological systems under climatic uncertainty

Belem, Mahamadou (Ghana). Development of an integrated generic model for multi-scale assessment of the impacts of agro-ecosystem on major ecosystem services in West-Africa

Prudhomme, Rémi (France). Legumes production in Europe to mitigate agricultural emissions in a global perspective

Alday, Josu G. (Spain). Inter-annual versus spatial variation: which drives mushroom biomass and diversity in Mediterranean elevational gradients?

Daunes, Lise (France). Land use analysis and impacts on trade-offs between biodversity conservation and carbon sequestration

12:30 h

Lunch Break

12:30 h - 13:30 h

13:30 h


13:30 h - 14:30 h


Hearne, John (Australia). Conservation challenges in fire prone landscapes

Pereira Pacheco, Abílio (Portugal). Flexible design of a network of helipads for a fleet of forest firefighting helicopters

León, Javier (Spain). Multicriteria and Stochastic Optimization applied to wildfires


Mouysset, Lauriane (France). Land-use policies to deal with biodiversity: a bio-economic analysis

Bates, Samuel (France). Are the Impacts of Global Changes so Irreversible? An Application of the Viability approach on tropical agrosystems

Courtois, Pierre (France). A tale of two diversities


Vall-llossera, Mercè (Spain). Forest fire prevention using SMOS soil moisture and land surface temperature measurements from satellite

Marino, Eva (Spain). Combining LiDAR data and stereoscopic hemispherical images for 3D forest structure characterization

de Cáceres, Miquel (Spain). Development of a modelling framework to monitor drought stress of forests at the regional level

15:30 h

Coffe Break

15:30 h - 15:50 h

15:50 h


15:50 h - 17:50 h


Galiana Martín Luis (Spain). Characterization of fire scenarios at a regional scale. The case of Spain

Oliveres, Jordi (Spain). Modeling the complexity of wildfire regimes from a transdisciplinary approach; statistical patterns, the vision of fire experts community and the concept of wildfire generations

Aquilué, Núria (Spain). Using land-use changes to influence the fire regime in fire-prone landscapes

Montiel Molina, Cristina (Spain). The complex interaction of land use changes and fire regime in the Central Mountains Range region (Spain)

Duane, Andrea  (Spain). The challenge of emergence in fire regimes in landscape succession models


De Cacqueray Valmenier, Yannick (France). Adaptation and farming trajectories: the example of organic farming

Xu, Quing (France). Farmers’ social network changes during decision process about transformational adaptation

Trullols, Enric (Spain). Bifurcations in a Model of Natural Resources and Human Activity

Henselek, Yuki (Germany). How pollinator diversity affects the probability distribution of pollination and of farm income

Olivar Tost, Gerard (Colombia). The role of economic cooperation between two rural communities

Caen, Auguste (France). Effect of sedimentation ponds on the mitigation of eutrophication lake: evidence from lake Aydat (France)


Hatcher, Aaron (UK). Modelling quota prices in multispecies fisheries with and without a discard ban

Kelly, Michael (USA). Optimal harvesting strategies of a fish stock affected by habitat degradation

Kovacevic, Raimund (Austria). Optimal harvesting for a stochastic fishery model – the role of information

Nichols, Rachel (Australia). Optimal quota allocation in a fishery with habitat effects

Sadefo Kamdem, Jules (French Guyane). Real option approach for optimal fishery harvesting with jumps in stock dynamics

Stoeven, Max (Germany). How to measure quotas in second-best fisheries?

09:00 h


09:00 h - 10:40 h


Regnier, Esther (France). Economic growth, international trade, and the depletion or conservation of renewable natural resources

Dragicevic, Arnaud (Turkey). Stochastic Shadow Pricing of Renewable Natural Resources

Zhou Wei (China). A competitive analysis on the effects of carbon trade on different forest plantation management

Hussain, Tanvir (Germany). Shadow-price valuation of multifunctional natural capital under different conceptions of sustainability


Eskridge, Kent (USA). Canonical Data Analytic Methods for Assessing Management Effects on Ecosystems Illustrated with Soil Data from Commercial Organic Farms in Nebraska

Nadeau, Alice (USA). Predominant sources and sinks of carbon from Mauna Loa data

de Miguel Magaña, Sergio (Spain). Modeling the effect of climatic and soil moisture conditions on mushroom productivity and related ecosystem services under different climate change scenarios

Nhim, Tum (Netherlands). Resilience and self-governance in social-ecological systems: Effect of scarcity on cooperation of a small-scale irrigation community

Duffy, Kevin Jan (South Africa). How ecosystem sustainability could impact the spread of infectious diseases?


Sylvie, Huet (France). A flood risk preparedness model that aims at the construction of resilience indicators

Lai, Tin-Yu (Finland). The role of food web interactions in multispecies fisheries management: an optimal bioeconomic analysis of Baltic salmon

McKerral, Jody (Australia). Turbulence and fishing alter size-abundance scaling relationships in the aquatic biosphere

Riquelme, Victor (Chile). Dynamics and biological reference points of a stochastic age-structured fish population model with illustration with the Patagonian toothfish population

Tromeur, Eric (France). Optimal biodiversity loss in mixed fisheries

10:40 h

Coffe Break

10:40 h - 11:00 h

11:00 h

Keynote Lecture - Frank van Langevelde, Wageningen University

11:00 h - 11:55 h

Title: Social resilience in honeybee colonies

12:00 h


12:00 h - 13:00 h


Neubert, Michael (USA). Optimal Management when Extraction Damages Habitat: A Dynamic Model

Cairns, Robert (Canada). The Point-Input, Point-Output Forest: A Micro Prototype for Economic Accounting

Thebaud, Olivier (France). Social tipping points and environmental management decision-making: a biodiversity offsets example


Chiba, Fadoua (France). Marketable pollution permits with intermittent energy sources

Pascual, Adrián (Finland). Spatial differences between ALS-based forest inventory units have an impact on the spatial efficiency and dynamic treatment units in forest management planning

De Lara, Michel (France). Viable control of an epidemiological model


Brunette, Marielle (France). Is forest insurance a relevant vector to induce adaptation efforts to climate change?

Deus, Ernesto (Portugal). Will conflicts between Eucalyptus globulus and protected areas increase in Iberian Peninsula under climate change scenarios? A model-based framework

Lizarralde, Iñigo (Spain). Development of a regional forest inventory and a fuel model cartography for Castilla-La Mancha (Spain) using LiDAR and remote sensing information

13:00 h

Lunch Break

13:00 h - 14:00 h

14:00 h


14:00 h - 16:00 h


Quaas, Martin (Germany). Market size and the resilience of the commons

Gajardo, Pedro (Chile). Methods for a sustainable rebuilding of overexploited natural resources: a viability approach

Asheim, Geir B (Norway). Forming coalitions against climate change

Paudel, Krishna (Nepal). An integrated approach to analyzing risk in bioeconomic models

Esteban, Encarna (Featured speaker) (Spain). Wetlands Response to Climate Change Impacts


Martin-Alcon, Santiago (Spain). Identification and characterization of storm damage to forests using Sentinel-2 imagery and LiDAR data: study case in Sierra Espadán Natural Park (Spain)

Castellví Esturi, Jordi (Spain). Cat-3/MOTS optical and GNSS-R Earth Observation data fusion satellite mission for mapping surface soil moisture as a key environmental variable

McArthur, Lynne (Australia). The chaotic nature of wind generated power and how to forecast future output

Quérou, Nicolas (France). Spatially-connected concessions with limited tenure

Navarro, José Antonio (Spain). Forest Inventory combining dense image matching data and terrestrial Photogrammetry in a Mediterranean pine forest

Couture, Stéphane (France). Multi-objective forest management under risk by exploring Pareto frontier

16:00 h

Coffe Break

16:00 h - 16:15 h

16:15 h


16:15 h - 18:15 h


Gorfine, Harry (Australia). Application of a mixed modelling approach to standardize catch-per-unit-effort data for an abalone dive fishery in Western Victoria, Australia

Tunca, Sezgin (Finland). Cooperative vs Non-Cooperative Benefits in the Black Sea Anchovy Fishery

Dutta, Sachinandan (India). Dynamic food web model and fisheries interactions of Bay of Bengal ecosystem

Fernández Chacón, Albert (Spain). Spatially replicated mark-recapture study reveals demographic responses to protection in a harvested marine species


Richter, Andries (Germany). The interaction of investments in harvesting capacity and the social norms of cooperation in a fishery

Cooper, Rachel (France). A step-by-step approach for operationalizing viability in systems based management, an example from fisheries management in the Southern Benguela

Trijoulet, Vanessa (USA). Development of a state-space multi-species age-structured fisheries assessment model

Blanco, Juan A (Spain). On the importance of accurate estimation of coarse woody debris decomposition rates when modelling forest ecosystems

09:00 h


09:00 h - 10:40 h


Rapaport, Alain (France). About equivalence of finite dimensional input-output models of solute transport and diffusion in geosciences

Strimbu, Bogdan (USA). A parsimonious method for modeling complex nonlinear relationships

Sandal, Leif Kristoffer (Norway). A Contraction Approach to discrete Multi-Periodic and Mulity-State Optimization with Infinite Horizon

Filar, Jerzy (Australia). Some Uncertainty Issues in Mathematical Models of the Environment


Chen, Yi-Hsiu (USA). Dynamic range modeling of ESA-listed Acropora coral distributions in the U.S. Caribbean and Southeast Florida

Sebba, Mattieu (France). Optimal policy of water extraction of coastal lagoon under state constraints

Perez-Barahona, Agustin (France). Wildlife management and the sea turtles in Florida

Moll, Richard (Canada). Vulnerability, Resilience and Adaptive Capacity measures for a Coastal Community

Hänsel, Martin C. (Germany). Interaction of ocean acidification, warming and eutrophication: A general equilibrium analysis

10:40 h

Coffe Break

10:40 h - 11:00 h

11:00 h

Keynote Lecture - Linda Nøstbakken, Norwegian School of Economics

11:00 h - 11:55 h

Title:  Distribution and sustainable fisheries management

12:00 h


12:00 h - 13:20 h


Zeeman, Mary Lou (USA). A dynamical systems framework for exploring resilience

Mirza, M Usman (Netherlands). Sudden social-ecological changes with rising inequality

Voß, Theresa (Germany). Measuring responsibility for ecosystem collapse through over-harvesting in a stylized ecological-economic model

Houballah, Moitaba (France). Applying the social-ecological system framework to construct a biophysical-social forest growth model of the Vercors forest


Van der Meijden, Gerard (The Netherlands). On OPEC’s evaporating market power and climate policies

Wätzold, Frank (Germany). Cost-effectiveness of conservation payments under climate change

Wei, Duan (China). Impacts of Protected Areas on Local Livelihoods: Evidence of Giant Panda Biosphere Reserves in Sichuan Province (China)

Gourguet, Sophie (France). Interactions between pelagic trawlers, demersal trawlers and small-scale fisheries and consequences on biological and socio-economic trade-offs

13:20 h

Lunch Break

13:20 h - 14:10 h

14:10 h


14:10 h - 15:50 h


Winter, Anna (Norway). The window of opportunity to prevent a collapse of a fishery under different population productivity regimes

Spanou, Elisavet (Australia). The valuation of Tasmanian coastal and marine sites through the study of real-time visitor GPS location data

Lagarde, Adrien (France). How MMEY mitigate bio-economic effects of climate change on mixed fisheries

Kunal, Chakraborty (India). Modeling coastal upwelling of the eastern Arabian Sea and its potential implications on fisheries

Yiming, Liu (China). Evaluating impacts of fish stock enhancement and biodiversity conservation actions on the livelihoods of small-scale fishers on the Beijiang River, China

Eaton, Carrie Diaz (USA). Quantitative Undergraduate Biology Education and Synthesis (QUBES)


Valerie, Angeon (Guadalupe). Converting into Agroecological Transition in the Tropics: Brakes and Levers from a Viability Perspective

Casas González, Guillermo (Spain). A discrete element numerical tool for the analysis of rotary fertilizer spreaders

Yijing, Zhang (China). The effect of environmental regulations on forest products trade in China

Kleshnina, Maria (Australia). Incompetence in microbial games

Collado, Eduardo (Spain). Modeling the relationship between forest management, tree growth and fungal dynamics

Lobianco, Antonello (France). Drivers and impacts of forest sector dynamics in France

15:50 h

Coffe Break

15:50 h - 16:00 h

16:00 h

Awards & Closure

16:00 h - 16:45 h

16:45 h

RMA Meeting

16:45 h - 18:00 h

Registration Fees

Registration is now open


Contact: wcnrm2017@paucostafoundation.org


*Early bird until 30/04/2017

**Late registration from 01/05/2017 until 02/06/2017

Not yet a RMA member? Become member of the Resource Modelling Organization

Optional: Become a member of the Pau Costa Foundation

Keynote Speakers

Linda Nøstbakken

Norwegian School of Economics

Marc Castellnou

Catalan Fire&Rescue Service

Mark Finney

Missoula Fire Sciences Laboratory

Frank van Langevelde

University of Wageningen

Scientific Comittee

Dr. Luc Doyen (CNRS, FR)


Prof. John Hearne (RMIT, AU)


Dr. Elsa Pastor (UPC, SP)


Prof. Martin Quaas (University of Kiel, DE)


Dr. Begoña Vitoriano (UCM, SP)




In cooperation with...

             mpe_1             mpe_2             logo_GEOSAFE_200


Organising Committe

rma_blanc_smallThe RMA is an international association of scientists working at the intersection of mathematical modeling, environmental science, and natural resource management. We formulate and analyze models to understand and inform the management of renewable and exhaustible resources. We are particularly concerned with the sustainable utilization of renewable resources and their vulnerability to anthropogenic and other disturbances.

logo-pau-solThe Pau Costa Foundation has the ambition to be an information platform on forest fire management, as well as an instrument to disseminate and investigate in fire ecology. Our objectives are the research in the field of forest fire ecology, the creation of knowledge, tools and techniques for the management of forest fires, and the dissemination of this knowledge to the technical world through training and dissemination instruments.

logo-certec-upc2CERTEC is an organization whose objectives are research and education in the various fields of environmental and technological risk assessment. It is located at the Barcelona East School of Engineering (EEBE) at new Diagonal-Besòs Campus of the Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya· BarcelonaTech (UPC). Our areas of interest are wildland fires, toxic releases, industrial fires, explosions, etc. Among other activities, we develop mathematical and numerical models that will ultimately help managing accidental environmental impact.

Remembering previous WCNRM editions...